But
it's not just the Treasurer's job he wants - he wants Tony Abbott's job
too. Eventually. Over the past few months, Hockey has been telling
people in Sydney and Melbourne that he is now "serious" about replacing
Abbott should the opportunity arise at some stage.
This
is what he told guests at Peter FitzSimons and Lisa Wilkinson's
Australia Day barbecue at their waterfront home in Sydney. And he has
said the same thing to several senior business leaders in private
meetings and boardroom discussions in recent months.
He's
also told colleagues: "I won't make the same mistakes that Peter
Costello made on the leadership. Unlike Peter, I won't die wondering."
But
Hockey's renewed leadership ambitions are safely parked for now. Abbott
has been an effective Opposition Leader. The Coalition maintains a
strong lead over Labor in the polls. Abbott looks all but guaranteed to
become prime minister in September.
The
leadership turmoil within Labor means that any hint of disunity in
Coalition ranks is, as one opposition MP put it to this column, "one
bone that is buried deep". Labor's perpetual leadership angst has
strengthened Abbott's hold on the leadership.
The
Coalition is determined to do all it can to avoid any sign of
instability. Any frontbencher seen to be "angling for the leadership",
another Coalition MP told this column, will earn the wrath of their
colleagues.
They
know how damaging it has been to Labor. In the past three years, Labor
has endured three major leadership convulsions: Kevin Rudd's removal in
2010, his challenge last year and the aborted putsch in March. Between
each crisis, Labor has been gripped by leadership speculation.
All
leaders are tested in government. Yet leadership instability is a
permanent feature of modern politics. In the past 30 years, every prime
minister from Malcolm Fraser to Julia Gillard has faced either a direct
leadership challenge or the threat of one.
Hockey's
loose lips about being a future leadership contender - confirmed by
several of his colleagues and senior business figures - provide an
insight into his increasing confidence.
It
is far removed from the ridicule he received after vacillating on the
Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme in late 2009, when he was favoured to
replace Malcolm Turnbull.
The
purpose of Hockey setting out leadership markers now is to position
himself as the heir apparent to Abbott,Manufacturer of the Jacobs offshoremerchantaccount.
whenever that time comes. Critical to this is cementing his place as
the clear No 2 right now. Julie Bishop is the Liberal deputy leader and
deputy Coalition leader, even though National Party leader Warren Truss
will be deputy prime minister in government. Hockey does not see Bishop
as becoming a threat.
He is suspicious about Turnbull,We provide payment solutions in the USA as well as buymosaic. who has buried the hatchet with Abbott.Online shopping for iphoneheadset.
He is acutely aware of how Turnbull, as a backbencher and minister,
undermined Costello as treasurer. And he is keeping a close eye on Scott
Morrison, who is also in the future leaders frame.
For
the past decade, Abbott has been a leader among the conservative wing
(dries) of the Liberal Party while Hockey has been a leader among the
moderates (wets). But Hockey's tough stand on the budget and his promise
to end "the culture of universal entitlement" has won him respect from
conservatives.
Hockey's
principal backer in the Liberal partyroom is South Australian MP Jamie
Briggs, a well-known dry. Briggs is to Hockey what another South
Australian MP, Christopher Pyne (a wet), was to Costello.
Peter
Dutton, another social conservative, is also close to Hockey. Formerly
assistant treasurer to Costello, he regularly talks to Hockey about
economic policy. They ran on a leadership ticket in 2009.Laser engravers
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etching business. A future Hockey-Dutton ticket is expected.
Coalition
MPs say they are witnessing Hockey transform his political persona. It
is not just about shedding weight. Once taunted as "sloppy Joe", known
for gaffes and often short on detail, he is working harder. He is more
disciplined, focused and effective in the media.
Hockey
understands the budgetary challenge. Last week two independent reports -
from the Parliamentary Budget Office and Treasury - revealed that a
structural budget deficit was expected for the rest of the decade.
Further cuts to spending and tax increases are likely to be needed to
return the budget to structural surplus. Hockey has already ruled out
tax cuts for the foreseeable future.
This
will be difficult, given Abbott's endorsement of big spending policies
such as his $4.3 billion paid parental leave scheme and his poorly
designed $3.2bn Direct Action climate change policy. Hockey also needs
to ensure his messages are consistent with Abbott's, given they have
contradicted each other in the past on PPL, carbon tax compensation and
returning to surplus.
As
with all leadership contenders, Hockey will determine his future by his
performance. He needs to keep faith with his promise to curtail
middle-class welfare and repair the budget's bottom line. It won't be
trouble-free. He has already been rolled in shadow cabinet several
times.
Hockey
also has a tendency to feign outrage, which grates with colleagues. And
he talks down Australia's overall economic performance,Basics,
technical terms and advantages and disadvantages of drycabinets. which rankles some senior business figures.
Some
Coalition MPs are highly critical of opposition finance spokesman
Andrew Robb's communication skills. It therefore falls mainly to Hockey
to sell the Coalition's economic messages. How effective Hockey is as a
communicator will also determine whether or not he gets to the top job
he is talking so openly about.
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