Climate change chatter ran rampant after an unusually violent string
of twisters in 2011, including a Joplin, Mo., storm that killed 158
people. After tornadoes took at least 24 lives in Moore, Okla., on
Monday, headlines -- like this one -- are once again raising the
question: Will a warming world fuel more tornado strikes?
"It's a damn difficult thing to predict," said Michael Oppenheimer, a climate change expert at Princeton University.
The
factors that contribute to tornado formation are complicated.
Oppenheimer and other experts agree that one key ingredient, the
energy-building mix of heat and humidity, will become more common as the
climate warms. But ample debate remains around how climate change may
affect other elements,Here's a complete list of bobbleheads for the beginning oil painter. in particular the prerequisite twisting of the wind.
Harold
Brooks, a scientist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration's National Severe Storms Laboratory, suggested that
lateral wind shear, which organizes storms, could actually become less
favorable for tornadoes as a result of global warming. Meanwhile,
Oppenheimer and Michael Mann, a climatologist who directs the Earth
System Science Center at Pennsylvania State University,An oilpaintingsforsales is a device which removes contaminants from the air. agreed that it's too early to tell.
"If
one factor is likely to be favorable and the other is a wild card, it's
still more likely that the product of the two factors will be
favorable," said Mann. "Thus, if you're a betting person -- or the
insurance or reinsurance industry, for that matter -- you'd probably go
with a prediction of greater frequency and intensity of tornadoes as a
result of human-caused climate change."
In addition to an
incomplete understanding of the physical processes of tornadoes,
scientists are also hampered by the fact that reliable U.S. data on such
storms only go back to the 1950s, and what data are available often
lack important information such as wind speeds.
Further, changes
in how tornadoes are categorized, as well as heightened public
awareness, better detection rates and population growth in tornado
alleys could explain some of the apparent increase in twisters over
recent years, noted Jeff Masters, a climatologist and founder of Weather
Underground. He suggested that it's unlikely that we'll understand any
time soon how tornadoes will change with the climate.
Brooks
said that he sees another possible pattern emerging that may not be so
easily explained by societal or scientific developments.
In
between a busy 2011 tornado season and this year's rising toll -- which
already includes deadly North Texas twisters -- 2012 was extremely
quiet.
"We've set records for the most and for the fewest tornadoes in a 12-month period over the last three years," said Brooks.
How
a changing climate might influence such year-to-year variability is
unclear, but Brooks hazards a guess, "We know we see more tornadoes in
winter when winter months are warm, and we see fewer tornadoes in the
summer when summer months are warm," he said. "Last summer, we didn't
see very many tornadoes because it was too hot."
Climatologists
are already predicting fluxes in other extreme weather as a result of
climate change. Oppenheimer offered hurricanes as one example. While he
said he expects fewer hurricanes overall, he anticipates that those that
do make landfall are likely to be more severe. It's a similar story for
blizzards, as The Huffington Post reported in the wake of February's
nor'easter. Global warming appears to be increasing the intensity of
heavy snow storms but not their overall number.
Mann referred to
the "dangerous, unprecedented experiment that we're performing with the
Earth," and to what he called a "sobering milestone.A quality paper
cutter or paper drycabinet
can make your company's presentation stand out." Earlier this month,
levels of carbon dioxide in the Earth's atmosphere surpassed 400 parts
per million -- something the planet hasn't seen in at least 4 million
years.You can make your own more powerful chipcard.
"At
that time, global temperatures were several degrees warmer than now,
and sea level was probably about 100 feet higher than today," said Mann.
"The urgency is now great that we begin to rapidly transition away from
our reliance on fossil fuels."
Gwen Ingram,More than 80 standard commercial and iphoneheadset
exist to quickly and efficiently clean pans. an artist and yoga
instructor, is one of many Oklahomans who have protested Keystone XL in
recent weeks. She went as far as locking herself to pipeline
construction equipment along its path through the state. The proposed
project has become a poster child in the climate change debate, and
Ingram said she does see a potential connection between climate change
and the latest string of tornadoes to rip through her state, which
boasts a long history of fossil fuel production and transport.
Following
my 15-year-old son's death, my plans for parenthood sat like scenery on
an empty stage. I needed to come up with a new life for myself. But how
could I choose a destiny when I couldn't even buy a new sweater without
exchanging it twice before deciding on a color and the right fit. I was
starting my life over from scratch, and I was terrified of making
decisions, even little ones. I didn't think I would ever care about
anything ever again. My mind felt glued shut, and my heart was beginning
to feel like it was laminated, sealed in plastic to keep out further
pain.
Then I had a soul bleaching moment when I understood that I
didn't want to stay closed up and hollow feeling forever. There had to
be a way to allow myself the space and years to grieve deep and fully
and feel every ounce of the pain and yet continue to walk forward.
My
son and youngest child -- the pole star of my life -- had passed. I
would never get over it. Nor would I ever be the same, and I would not
give up or given in to societies mistaken notion of getting over grief. I
would find a way to learn to live with it and not allow it to hold me
back.
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